Roulette mathematics starts with three questions: which outcomes are possible, which ones win the wager, and how much each result returns. Once those are clear, probability and expected return follow. A session adds stake rules, stopping conditions and a sequence of results.
Choose the question you need answered
Scroll to compare all columns
| Your question | Start here |
|---|---|
| How often should one bet win? | Roulette probability |
| What does a 2.70% edge mean? | House edge and expected return |
| How likely is a long losing run? | Streak probability |
| Why can equal-edge bets feel different? | Variance and volatility |
| Can the next progression stake fit? | Bankroll and table limits |
| What if several chips win together? | Overlapping bets |
| How should a simulation be read? | Simulation methodology |
Keep the model visible
The ordinary examples here use fair, independent outcomes, a single-zero or double-zero wheel, fixed conventional payouts and full loss of outside wagers on zero. Each guide states changes when it needs another model. La partage and en prison require their own settlement assumptions.
Single-spin probability describes a selected group. Expected value averages every possible net result. Variance describes their spread. None of those quantities, alone, determines how one finite session ends.
Follow one chip
On standard European red, 18 outcomes win one chip and 19 lose it. Expected profit is 18/37 minus 19/37, or −1/37 chip. The wager can still win the very next spin. An expected loss is an average across possible outcomes, rather than a fractional fee removed from each round.
Repeat the same fixed one-chip wager 100 times and expected profit becomes −100/37 chips, about −2.70. Changing the stake after results changes total exposure. It does not make the next independent spin favor the newly selected wager.
Use the payout calculator for one wager, the streak calculator for a named sequence and the strategy simulator for a bounded demonstration. Read the assumptions beside a result before comparing it with another tool or table.
Sources and scope
- Rules of Play for Table Games, Roulette. British Columbia Lottery Corporation. Double-zero standard payout table and placement. European pocket count is independently verified from native Wheel.
Publication date: not stated. Checked 2026-11-07.
- Roulette probability derivation. Amenti Labs LLC. Fair independent pockets, fixed payouts, full outside loss on zero. Formula and all supported bets regression tested.
Publication date: 2026-11-07. Checked 2026-11-07.